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  • 周鹏 ( 教授 )

    的个人主页 http://faculty.nuaa.edu.cn/zp/zh_CN/index.htm

  •   教授
  • 招生学科专业:
    管理科学与工程 -- 【招收博士、硕士研究生】 -- 经济与管理学院
论文成果 当前位置: 中文主页 >> 科学研究 >> 论文成果
Reassessment of global climate risk: non-compensatory or compensatory?

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所属单位:经济与管理学院
发表刊物:NATURAL HAZARDS
关键字:Composite indicator Climate risk Normalization Non-compensatory
摘要:Evidence shows the global climate will continue to change over this century and beyond. A clear understanding of the climate change risk is suggested to be the foundation of the human adaptation. The plausible climate risk index reported by Germanwatch may be criticized as the fully compensatory assumption among underlying indicators, and the risk performance of each country in absolute terms cannot be assessed as the information on indicator level lost. We formulate an enhanced non-compensatory assessment scheme to reassess country's risk performance under climate change by means of penalizing underlying indicators that fail to satisfy certain criteria. Based on the new scheme, we can genuinely restrict the compensability among underlying indicators and provide informative decision aiding. A case study is performed to illustrate the effectiveness of our analysis by constructing a new climate risk index for 119 countries in terms of death toll, deaths per 100,000 inhabitants, absolute losses in PPP and losses per GDP unit.
ISSN号:0921-030X
是否译文:否
发表时间:2019-01-01
合写作者:张露平
通讯作者:周鹏

 

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