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Affiliation of Author(s):民航学院

Title of Paper:Market Share Forecasting Method of International Routes in Alliance Environment

Journal:Jiaotong Yunshu Xitong Gongcheng Yu Xinxi J. Transp. Syst. Eng. Inf. Technol.

Abstract:Unlike the forecast of general routes'market share, the routes'attributes are complex and difficult to predict the market share, for international routes often need cooperation of two or more carriers, and the corresponding products are unified or diversified. It is necessary to explore a scientific and reasonable method of forecasting. Based on the QSI model, this paper proposes an improved QSI index system by selecting the attributes of the transportation products among the large data of international air transport. The proposed model in this paper is also used to predict the market share of China-USA. The results show that the improved QSI model is more suitable for predicting the market share of international routes than the classical QSI model. Copyright © 2018 by Science Press.

ISSN No.:1009-6744

Translation or Not:no

Date of Publication:2018-04-01

Co-author:Zhao, Xiao-Song,Ge, Wei

Correspondence Author:Zhao, Xiao-Song,zjf