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    方志耕

    • 教授 博士生导师
    • 性别:男
    • 毕业院校:南京航空航天大学
    • 学历:南京航空航天大学
    • 学位:212
    • 所在单位:经济与管理学院
    • 联系方式:办公电话:025-84896149 邮箱:zhigengfang@163.com
    • 电子邮箱:
    • 2018当选:国家级教学团队

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    Spare parts demand forecasting model of repairable components based on gray birth and death process

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    所属单位:经济与管理学院

    发表刊物:Xi Tong Cheng Yu Dian Zi Ji Shu/Syst Eng Electron

    摘要:During the life cycle, the failure rate and repairable rate of repairable parts show uncertain characteristics. The birth and death process based on the determined failure rate and repair rate may not meet the demand forecasting of spare parts. By using interval gray numbers to represent the failure rate and repair rate of repairable parts, the gray state transition matrix is constructed. The spare parts demand forecasting model of repairable components based on gray birth and death process is built. The memoryless and existence conditions of steady solution of the process based on the gray birth and death process are studied. To some extent, the spare parts demand law with the uncertain information of the failure rate and the repair rate is revealed. The practical case study verifies the validity and practicability of the model. © 2017, Editorial Office of Systems Engineering and Electronics. All right reserved.

    ISSN号:1001-506X

    是否译文:

    发表时间:2017-12-01

    合写作者:陈顶,刘思峰

    通讯作者:陈顶,方志耕