方志耕

Professor   Supervisor of Doctorate Candidates  

Gender:Male

Alma Mater:南京航空航天大学

Education Level:南京航空航天大学

Degree:212

School/Department:College of Economics and Management

Discipline:管理科学与工程(复杂装备研制管理). 管理科学与工程(工业工程). 管理科学与工程

Contact Information:办公电话:025-84896149 邮箱:zhigengfang@163.com

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Paper Publications

Spare parts demand forecasting model of repairable components based on gray birth and death process

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Affiliation of Author(s):经济与管理学院

Journal:Xi Tong Cheng Yu Dian Zi Ji Shu/Syst Eng Electron

Abstract:During the life cycle, the failure rate and repairable rate of repairable parts show uncertain characteristics. The birth and death process based on the determined failure rate and repair rate may not meet the demand forecasting of spare parts. By using interval gray numbers to represent the failure rate and repair rate of repairable parts, the gray state transition matrix is constructed. The spare parts demand forecasting model of repairable components based on gray birth and death process is built. The memoryless and existence conditions of steady solution of the process based on the gray birth and death process are studied. To some extent, the spare parts demand law with the uncertain information of the failure rate and the repair rate is revealed. The practical case study verifies the validity and practicability of the model. © 2017, Editorial Office of Systems Engineering and Electronics. All right reserved.

ISSN No.:1001-506X

Translation or Not:no

Date of Publication:2017-12-01

Co-author:陈顶,Sifeng Liu

Correspondence Author:陈顶,Fang Zhigeng

Pre One:基于组合方法的机场航油销售量预测研究——以新疆为例

Next One:基于多元异构不确定性案例学习的广义区间灰数熵权聚类模型

Profile

南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院教授、博士生导师。江苏省“333高层次人才培养工程”第二层次培养对象,全国MEM教指委委员。

主持国家社科基金重点项目、国家自然科学基金面上项目、江苏省社科基地、软科学等国家、省部级课题10余项。

承担航天一院、航天五院、航天八院、中国商飞、中国运载火箭研究院、金城集团、中国空空导弹研究院等单位的10余项重要合作课题。

曾获国家级教学成果奖二等奖1次,国防科学技术奖一等奖1次,教育部科技进步二等奖1次,高等学校科学研究优秀成果奖(人文社科、自然科学)二等奖2次、三等奖2次,江苏省科学技术奖一等奖1次,江苏省高等教育教学成果奖一等奖3次、二等奖2次,江苏省哲学社会科学优秀成果奖一等奖1次、二等奖2次,江苏省社科应用研究精品工程优秀成果一等奖2次、二等奖1次。