Enhanced delay propagation tree model with Bayesian Network for modelling flight delay propagation
点击次数：
所属单位：民航学院
发表刊物：TRANSPORTATION PLANNING AND TECHNOLOGY
关键字：Flight delays Bayesian Network delay modelling delay propagation delay propagation tree
摘要：An enhanced Delay Propagation Tree model with Bayesian Network (DPT-BN) is developed to model multi-flight delay propagation and delay interdependencies. Using a set of real airline data, results show that flights have non-homogeneous delay propagation effects. The DPT-BN model is used to infer posterior delay profiles with different delay and scheduling scenarios. The major contribution of the DPT-BN model is to demonstrate how the modelling of non-independent and identically distributed delay profiles is more realistic for the observed delay propagation mechanism, and how robust airline scheduling methodologies can benefit from this probability-based delay model.
ISSN号：0308-1060
是否译文：否
发表时间：2018-01-01
合写作者：Wu, Cheng-Lung
通讯作者：吴薇薇